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Analyst sees winterkills to halve Ukraine's 2006 wheat output
Ukraine's wheat output this year is expected to amount to about 9.2 million tonnes, or 9.5 million tonnes less than in 2005, domestic analyst APK-Inform said Wednesday. The decline is expected mainly due to damage to winter crops by bad weather. Winter wheat production, which accounts for the bulk of Ukraine's wheat output, is expected at 7.92 million tonnes, down from 17.54 million last year.

Aside from this the decline is also expected due to a decrease in the area and an anticipated drop in yields.

Spring wheat production is estimated at 1.24 million tonnes, slightly up from 1.03 million in 2005.

'The expected 2006 wheat production might be sufficient for domestic requirements taking into account large carryover stocks. But wheat and wheat flour imports are likely to take place in the 2006-07 marketing year (July-June),' APK-Inform said.

Ukraine's Ministry of Agrarian Policy earlier estimated the output of winter wheat in 2006 at over 12 million tonnes. In 2005, Ukraine harvested 18.7 million tonnes of wheat, up from 17.52 million in 2004. Ukraine's lowest wheat harvest in recent years was registered in 2003, when it stood at just 3.6 million tonnes.
MGR Archive 29.1.2006
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